Ua ntej Lub Rau Hli 2025, tsab ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam Tebchaws Meskas tau xa cov lus ceeb toom los ntawm kev lag luam khoom siv hauv tsev thoob ntiaj teb. Pib txij Lub Rau Hli 23, yim pawg ntawm cov hlau - ua cov khoom siv hauv tsev, suav nrog cov tub yees ua ke, lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws, lub freezers, thiab lwm yam, tau raug suav nrog hauv thaj tsam ntawm Tshooj 232 kev tshawb nrhiav tariffs, nrog tus nqi se siab txog 50%. Qhov no tsis yog ib qho kev sib cais tab sis kev txuas ntxiv thiab nthuav dav ntawm US txoj cai txwv kev lag luam steel. Los ntawm "Kev nqis tes ua ntawm Steel Tariffs" tshaj tawm nyob rau lub Peb Hlis 2025, rau cov pej xeem tawm tswv yim ntawm "cov txheej txheem suav nrog" nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis, thiab tom qab ntawd mus rau kev nthuav dav ntawm cov se los ntawm cov khoom steel kom tiav cov cav tov lub sij hawm no, Teb Chaws Asmeskas tab tom tsim "kev txwv tsis pub nqi" rau cov hlau ntshuam - ua cov khoom siv hauv tsev los ntawm cov txheej txheem kev loj hlob.
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Nws yog ib qho tsim nyog sau cia tias txoj cai no qhia meej meej cov cai se rau "cov khoom siv hlau" thiab "cov khoom tsis yog steel". Cov khoom siv hlau yog raug rau 50% Tshooj 232 tariff tab sis raug zam los ntawm "cov nqi sib tw". Cov khoom tsis yog hlau, ntawm qhov tod tes, yuav tsum tau them tus nqi "rov ua dua" (nrog rau 10% cov nqi qis, 20% fentanyl - ntsig txog tariff, thiab lwm yam) tab sis tsis raug raws li Tshooj 232 tariff. Qhov "kev kho qhov sib txawv" no qhia cov khoom siv hauv tsev nrog cov ntsiab lus hlau sib txawv rau cov nqi sib txawv.
I. Kev Pom Zoo ntawm Cov Ntaub Ntawv Kev Lag Luam: Qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Asmeskas Kev Lag Luam rau Suav Cov Khoom Siv Hauv Tsev
Raws li lub ntiaj teb hub rau kev tsim khoom siv hauv tsev, Tuam Tshoj xa tawm cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb rau Asmeskas. Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm 2024 qhia tias:
Tus nqi xa tawm ntawm lub tub yees thiab lub tub yees (nrog rau qhov chaw) mus rau Tebchaws Meskas tau txog 3.16 billion US las, ib xyoos - rau - xyoo nce ntawm 20.6%. Tebchaws Asmeskas suav txog 17.3% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom xa tawm ntawm pawg no, ua rau nws ua lag luam loj tshaj plaws.
Kev xa tawm tus nqi hluav taws xob rau Asmeskas yog 1.58 billion US las, suav txog 19.3% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom xa tawm, thiab cov khoom xa tawm tau nce 18.3% xyoo - rau - xyoo.
Cov khoom pov tseg hauv chav ua noj yog qhov ntau dua nyob ntawm Asmeskas kev ua lag luam, nrog 48.8% ntawm cov nqi xa tawm ntws mus rau Asmeskas, thiab cov khoom xa tawm suav txog 70.8% ntawm lub ntiaj teb tag nrho.
Saib ntawm qhov sib txawv ntawm 2019 - 2024, tshwj tsis yog rau lub qhov cub hluav taws xob, cov khoom lag luam xa tawm ntawm lwm pawg koom nrog rau Asmeskas tau pom qhov hloov pauv nce siab, uas ua rau pom qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Asmeskas kev lag luam rau cov khoom siv hauv tsev hauv Suav teb.
II. Yuav xam tus nqi li cas? Cov ntsiab lus steel txiav txim siab tus nqi nce
Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm tariff hloov kho ntawm cov lag luam yog qhov kawg tshwm sim hauv kev suav nyiaj. Siv ib tug Suav - ua tub yees nrog tus nqi ntawm 100 US las ua piv txwv:
Yog tias cov hlau tso nyiaj rau 30% (piv txwv li, 30 US las), thiab qhov tsis yog steel yog 70 US las;
Ua ntej kev hloov kho, tus nqi tariff yog 55% (xws li "reciprocal tariff", "fentanyl - ntsig txog tariff", "Section 301 tariff");
Tom qab kev hloov kho, cov khoom siv hlau yuav tsum tau dais ntxiv 50% Tshooj 232 tariff, thiab tag nrho cov nqi nce mus rau 67%, nce tus nqi ib chav los ntawm kwv yees li 12 US las.
Qhov no txhais tau hais tias qhov siab dua cov ntsiab lus steel ntawm cov khoom, qhov cuam tshuam ntau dua. Rau lub teeb - lub luag hauj lwm cov khoom siv hauv tsev nrog cov ntsiab lus steel ntawm ib ncig ntawm 15%, qhov kev nce nqi kuj tseem txwv. Txawm li cas los xij, rau cov khoom uas muaj cov ntsiab lus steel siab xws li lub freezers thiab welded hlau ncej, tus nqi siab yuav nce siab.
III. Cov Kev Sib Tham Sib Tham hauv Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam: Los ntawm Nqe rau Cov Qauv
Txoj cai US tariff tab tom ua rau muaj ntau yam kev tawm tsam:
Rau Asmeskas kev lag luam hauv tsev, qhov nce ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev tuaj yeem ncaj qha thawb tus nqi muag khoom, uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam cov neeg siv khoom xav tau.
Rau cov tuam txhab Suav, tsis yog tsuas yog cov txiaj ntsig xa tawm yuav raug compressed, tab sis lawv kuj yuav tsum tau ntsib lub siab los ntawm cov neeg sib tw xws li Mexico. Qhov sib faib ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev zoo sib xws tuaj los ntawm Asmeskas los ntawm Mexico yog thawj zaug siab dua li ntawm Tuam Tshoj, thiab txoj cai tariff muaj feem cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam los ntawm ob lub teb chaws.
Rau lub ntiaj teb kev lag luam saw, kev siv zog ntawm kev lag luam teeb meem tuaj yeem yuam cov tuam txhab los kho lawv cov peev txheej tsim khoom. Piv txwv li, teeb tsa cov chaw tsim khoom nyob ib ncig ntawm North America kom tsis txhob muaj cov nqi se yuav ua rau muaj kev nyuaj thiab cov nqi ntawm cov khoom siv.
VI. Kev Ua Lag Luam Teb: Txoj Kev Los ntawm Kev Ntsuam Xyuas mus Ua Haujlwm
Tau ntsib txoj cai hloov pauv, Suav cov khoom siv hauv tsev tuaj yeem teb los ntawm peb yam:
Tus nqi Re - engineering: Ua kom zoo tshaj qhov feem ntawm cov hlau siv hauv cov khoom, tshawb txog kev hloov cov khoom siv hnyav, thiab txo qhov feem ntawm cov khoom steel kom txo tau qhov cuam tshuam ntawm tariffs.
Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam: Tsim cov lag luam tawm tshiab xws li Southeast Asia thiab Middle East kom txo qis kev vam khom rau Asmeskas kev lag luam.
Txoj Cai Txuas Txuas: Ua tib zoo saib xyuas cov kev txhim kho tom ntej ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas "cov txheej txheem suav nrog", cuam tshuam cov kev xav tau los ntawm cov koom haum kev lag luam (xws li Lub Tsev Khoom Siv Hluav Taws Xob ntawm Tuam Tshoj Chamber of Commerce rau Ntshuam thiab Export ntawm Machinery thiab Electronic Products), thiab siv zog rau kev txo nqi los ntawm kev ua raws.
Raws li cov tub ntxhais tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam khoom siv hauv tsev thoob ntiaj teb, cov lus teb ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov lag luam tsis yog tsuas yog txhawj xeeb txog lawv tus kheej txoj sia, tab sis kuj yuav cuam tshuam rau kev tsim kho kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb cov khoom siv hauv tsev. Nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm normalization ntawm kev lag luam tsis sib haum, hloov kho cov tswv yim thiab ntxiv dag zog rau kev siv technology tshiab tej zaum yuav yog tus yuam sij rau navigating uncertainties.
Post lub sij hawm: Aug-04-2025 Views: